Space station may be billions over budget
By Charles Choi
UPI Science News

WASHINGTON, Feb. 26 (UPI) -- Reports of multi-billion-dollar cost overruns on the International Space Station have experts predicting hard times for NASA's human space-flight program.

"I know for a fact that the long-range-work, special-projects kind of stuff will be put on hold," said Brendan Curry, legislative assistant to Congressman Dave Weldon (R-Fla). "Any way-out research and development being done at Marshall and Kennedy Space Centers will also be put on hold after a while."

While experts emphasized that the orbiting science outpost will not be scrapped, they predicted that NASA will have to tighten its belt on some of its more long-ranging and far-reaching plans. Among projects for the station that Curry said "you can kiss goodbye" are Transhab, the inflatable habitat module NASA wanted to send up by late 2005. Scientists hoped that Transhab would one day serve as a prototype home for a Mars mission or a lunar base.

The Centrifuge Accommodation Module is another probable casualty, said Jim Muncy of the space policy consulting firm PoliSpace in Arlington, Va. The module was designed to study the long-term effects of varying gravity levels on generations of plants and animals.

Also in possible jeopardy are the X-38, the emergency crew rescue vehicle planned for early 2002, and the station's propulsion module, which would help the station avoid debris and atmospheric drag. "And that's just for what's planned for the station," Curry said.

Pending the release of the president's budget on Tuesday, congressional and NASA officials declined to comment on press reports estimating the cost overrun at $3 billion to $5 billion over the next four years.

"Congress will want to get some answers out of NASA about how this huge cost overrun could be kept from them for so long," Curry said. "Obviously, it looks to be a case of mismanagement. At what level, we're not currently sure."

Roughly $5 billion to $6 billion of NASA's annual $14 billion budget goes into human space-flight. NASA Administrator Dan Goldin has said any cost overruns will be contained within the agency's human space-flight office, but experts such as Muncy do not think it practical for the agency to cut costs that way.

"Do you want to take the political risk of having another shuttle crash and killing more astronauts?" Muncy asked. "I think any cuts will have to come out of other parts of NASA, hopefully out of lower priority areas. But it's not going to stop until we find some sort of way to effectively privatize and lower the operations costs in some ways."

The United States is the managing partner for the 16 nations involved in building the International Space Station. The outpost was projected to cost $24 billion to $26 billion to develop, and $1.3 billion per year to operate over 10 years, said NASA spokesperson Kirsten Larson.

Johnson Space Center, based in Houston, Texas, is managing the development of the station. George Abbey, the center's director since 1995, was moved to the position of Senior Assistant for International Issues to the NASA Administrator on Friday.

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